iPhone app estimates of level completion / level 50


#1

I am using the WaniKani iPhone application to do my reviews and lessons about half of the time.

The estimates of how long the current level will take and how long it will take to get to level 50 are very cool! However, I am not sure if I should trust them?

Originally my estimate to complete level 3 was 10.8 days (based on my completion times for 1 and 2) but due to my diligent efforts it looks like this has dropped down to 8.5 days (total, 4.3 remaining)!

However, my “level 50 after” estimate has continued to move further out incrementally - it is now 3 days later than when it first appeared in the application.

Any ideas of whether this is a “bug” or if it just needs more calibration from me completing further levels?


#2

could also compare it with http://ky.is/wanikani/ ?


#3
Kaimera said... could also compare it with http://ky.is/wanikani/ ?

 I get this kind of thing when I use that page (I don't use the iPhone app). I suspect they probably use the same maths. It particularly tends to move backwards after I make mistakes or don't get to review as frequently as I'd like. I guess the algorithm can't account for these kinds of unplanned circumstances, at least not until it can build a profile of how often this sort of thing happens in your particular run through WK.

#4
Jish said...However, my "level 50 after" estimate has continued to move further out incrementally - it is now 3 days later than when it first appeared in the application.
 
I think as long as one of the levels hadn't been completed in the quickest time possible, you can't get the estimate of the level 50 completion back to what it was originally... no matter how fast you try to do the later levels.

Three days later seem to be about right, since you said that first 2 levels were completed on average of 10 days each? The fastest time for 1st level is around 7 days, and the fastest time for 2nd level (and above) is just under 9 days I think.